{"id":481,"date":"2025-11-12T10:34:24","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T10:34:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/?post_type=product&p=481"},"modified":"2025-11-12T11:12:20","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T11:12:20","slug":"svg-2025-election-survey","status":"publish","type":"product","link":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/product\/svg-2025-election-survey\/","title":{"rendered":"SVG 2025 Election Survey"},"content":{"rendered":"

Press Release: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 2025 General Elections Report<\/b><\/h2>\n

Canadian Firm Predicts Tight Race in SVG\u2019s 2025 General Elections<\/b><\/h3>\n

Unity Labour Party (ULP) Holds Narrow Lead Over the New Democratic Party (NDP), According to a New National Survey<\/b><\/p>\n

Toronto, Canada \/ Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines \u2013 November 12, 2025<\/i><\/p>\n

\n

Overview<\/b><\/h3>\n

The November 27, 2025, General Elections in\u00a0Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG)<\/b><\/span>\u00a0are shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent history.<\/p>\n

A new\u00a0<\/span>national voter perception survey<\/b>\u00a0by\u00a0<\/span>Dunn Pierre Barnett & Company Canada Ltd. (DPBA)<\/b>\u00a0 led by\u00a0<\/span>Dr. C. Justine Pierre<\/b>\u00a0shows the\u00a0<\/span>Unity Labour Party (ULP)<\/b>\u00a0holding a\u00a0slim but statistically significant lead<\/i>\u00a0over the\u00a0<\/span>New Democratic Party (NDP)<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n

DPBA has built a strong reputation for\u00a0<\/span>accurately forecasting Caribbean elections<\/b>, including the\u00a0<\/span>Grenada (2022), Trinidad and Tobago (2025)<\/b>, and\u00a0<\/span>Guyana, Suriname, and Jamaica (2025)<\/b>\u00a0outcomes.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Key Findings<\/b><\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \n

    ULP projected seats:<\/b>\u00a08 \u00b1 1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    NDP projected seats:<\/b>\u00a07 \u00b1 1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Public satisfaction score:<\/b>\u00a05.49 \/ 10<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Probability of ULP retaining power:<\/b>\u00a064%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Probability of NDP forming government:<\/b>\u00a033%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Likelihood of a hung parliament:<\/b>\u00a03%<\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    The survey reveals:<\/p>\n

      \n
    • \n

      Women<\/b><\/span>\u00a0show stronger support for the\u00a0ULP<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Men<\/b>\u00a0and\u00a0<\/span>younger voters (18\u201334)<\/b>\u00a0lean toward the\u00a0<\/span>NDP<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Urban dissatisfaction<\/b><\/span>\u00a0contrasts with\u00a0rural loyalty<\/b><\/span>\u00a0to the ruling party<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

    • \n

      Economic sentiment<\/b><\/span>\u00a0and\u00a0inflation<\/b><\/span>\u00a0remain key electoral drivers<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      \n

      Expert Insight<\/b><\/h3>\n

      These findings point to a finely balanced political environment,said Dr. Pierre.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

      A one-point shift in national voter satisfaction could determine which party forms the next government.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

      Dr. Pierre highlights that\u00a0<\/span>women are the statistical foundation of ULP\u2019s stability<\/b>, while the\u00a0<\/span>NDP\u2019s potential victory<\/b>\u00a0depends on mobilizing\u00a0<\/span>younger and urban voters<\/b>\u00a0seeking change.<\/span><\/p>\n

      \n

      Report Summary<\/b><\/h3>\n

      The 2025 DPBA National Voter Perception Survey:<\/p>\n

        \n
      • \n

        Conducted\u00a0<\/span>October 1\u201330, 2025<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Sample size:\u00a0<\/span>2,402 respondents<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Coverage:\u00a0<\/span>All 15 constituencies<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      • \n

        Methodology:\u00a0<\/span>Demographic modeling, historical voting analysis, and Markov Chain Transition simulations<\/b><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Press Release: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 2025 General Elections Report Canadian Firm Predicts Tight Race in SVG\u2019s 2025 General Elections Unity Labour Party (ULP) Holds [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":485,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":[],"product_cat":[15],"product_tag":[],"class_list":["post-481","product","type-product","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","product_cat-uncategorized","first","instock","downloadable","taxable","shipping-taxable","purchasable","product-type-simple"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product\/481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/product"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=481"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/485"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"product_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product_cat?post=481"},{"taxonomy":"product_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dpbglobal.com\/shop\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product_tag?post=481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}